steelboy Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 Midweek we had a controversial off pitch draw, today we had an incredibly unlikely run of numbers. It's impossible to figure out the actual odds unless you know how many tickets are in it but pulling two consecutive numbers then a number within 5 either side of them is a massively unlikely event. Â It's possible it's a fluke but it's far more likely it's fixed, the question is who? Burrows? Dom Thomas? The Announcer (who may or may not post on here and somehow knew the same person didn't win all three)? The Well Society? Â We need an independent adjudicator for the Cove game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
numpty Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 pulling two consecutive numbers then a number within 5 either side of them is a massively unlikely eventIf it were a truly random draw, which is presumably the ideal, that sequence would be exactly as likely to happen as any other. (Reminds me of Apple having to make the shuffle feature on their iPods less random, because people thought it wasn't random enough -- just because it sometimes played two songs from the same artist one after the other...) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weeyin Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 Midweek we had a controversial off pitch draw, today we had an incredibly unlikely run of numbers. It's impossible to figure out the actual odds unless you know how many tickets are in it but pulling two consecutive numbers then a number within 5 either side of them is a massively unlikely event. You're certainly welcome in any of my poker games. Â "He was dealt 2 aces the last hand, the odds he as 2 aces this hand are ASTRONOMICAL!" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frazzie Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 Midweek we had a controversial off pitch draw, today we had an incredibly unlikely run of numbers. It's impossible to figure out the actual odds unless you know how many tickets are in it but pulling two consecutive numbers then a number within 5 either side of them is a massively unlikely event. Â It's possible it's a fluke but it's far more likely it's fixed, the question is who? Burrows? Dom Thomas? The Announcer (who may or may not post on here and somehow knew the same person didn't win all three)? The Well Society? Â We need an independent adjudicator for the Cove game. I'm not sure if you're having a joke, or if you're completely mental. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitch Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 This makes me so happy! My gut feeling is the announcer had the 3 winning tickets in his pocket. Another example of people milking the club from the inside... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbcmfc Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 You're certainly welcome in any of my poker games.  "He was dealt 2 aces the last hand, the odds he as 2 aces this hand are ASTRONOMICAL!" Before the 1st hand the odds are astronomical. Although it's the same astronomical odds on any 4 cards over 2 hands. (48,260/1)  Much as the odds on any 3 tickets coming out whether it be 1,2 and 3 or 564 312 and 988. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steelboy Posted January 2, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 If it were a truly random draw, the sequence you describe would be exactly as likely to happen as any other sequence. Â (Reminds me of Apple having to make the shuffle feature on their iPods less random, because people thought it wasn't random enough -- just because it sometimes played two songs from the same artist one after the other...) Â I'm fairly certain that if there are ( alow estimate) 500 tickets the odds of drawing two consecutive numbers is 500-2. Â To then hit a number within 5 either side of that is 498-10. Â It's roughly a 12000-1 shot. Â Considering that there's been less than 5000 games at Fir Park it was a very unusual draw. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steelboy Posted January 2, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 I think Mitch and Fraz are on the take from the PA man. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbcmfc Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 Â I'm fairly certain that if there are ( alow estimate) 500 tickets the odds of drawing two consecutive numbers is 500-2. Â To then hit a number within 5 either side of that is 498-10. Â It's roughly a 12000-1 shot. Â Considering that there's been less than 5000 games at Fir Park it was a very unusual draw. But that's the odds of any named combination. Â I can understand why it seems less likely, but statistically it isn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitch Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 I think you might be onto something here Steelboy. Â I think we should have an independent adjudicator signed up to deal with these draws. Â We can avoid doing the above when people stop being a bellend. Unlikely so let's go with the above... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steelboy Posted January 2, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 I think you might be onto something here Steelboy. Â I think we should have an independent adjudicator signed up to deal with these draws. Â We can avoid doing the above when people stop being a bellend. Unlikely so let's go with the above... Â I originally suspected Dom Thomas cause he's got a cheeky wee face. Â However Frazzle is acting awfy guilty so i'm considering a conspiracy from your mob. Â Going forward i'm willing to go out on the park at half time and keep it honest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steelboy Posted January 2, 2016 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 But that's the odds of any named combination. Â I can understand why it seems less likely, but statistically it isn't. Â What's your estimate of the odds for 500 tickets? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitch Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016 Â I originally suspected Dom Thomas cause he's got a cheeky wee face. Â However Frazzle is acting awfy guilty so i'm considering a conspiracy from your mob. Â Going forward i'm willing to go out on the park at half time and keep it honest. Pop out against Cove. I'll send you the tickets in advance that are to be pulled out. Sortit! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbcmfc Posted January 2, 2016 Report Share Posted January 2, 2016  What's your estimate of the odds for 500 tickets? Just shy of 21million to 1, presuming you're not fussed on what order they came out. (That's just for any 3 pre-decided tickets, if you allow for any 3 from a block of 10 with 2 being sequential, that's much less, about 250,000/1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stv Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 It's a feckin great draw . We won the £50 one the day totally random . Get a life or off the sad betting sites. I'll bet you thought it was the FBI that shot Kennedy an all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weeyin Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Before the 1st hand the odds are astronomical. Â Â That's not what I said, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbcmfc Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 That's not what I said, though. I know. Â Wasn't disagreeing with your point, just stretching it to disprove steel boys theory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
faddythedaddy Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Can't believe some people still think this is serious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbcmfc Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Can't believe some people still think this is serious Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Graeme Bremner Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 I remember hearing big john saying that the illuminati are behind our half time draws Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... underboyleheating Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Do we know if the same person won all three prizes?  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... MearnsWell Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 It's a feckin great draw . We won the £50 one the day totally random . Get a life or off the sad betting sites. I'll bet you thought it was the FBI that shot Kennedy an all. Would explain why he's suddenly no' even making the bench right enough... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... stuwell Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Dom pulled the three tickets out in the one go after the barrel had been spun - after the second number was called out you could see him looking at the third one still in his hand and thinking oh shit! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... wellman Posted January 4, 2016 Report Share Posted January 4, 2016 more to the point why can you never get a ticket near the main stand now ? Surely the people who benefit the draw should be out in droves selling tickets, at least one inside or outside every stand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Tweed Posted January 4, 2016 Report Share Posted January 4, 2016 Because the winners are in the Cooper and you can't sell to those who can't win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options... Prev 1 2 Next Page 1 of 2 Join the conversation You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account. Reply to this topic... × Pasted as rich text. Paste as plain text instead Only 75 emoji are allowed. × Your link has been automatically embedded. Display as a link instead × Your previous content has been restored. Clear editor × You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL. Loading... × Desktop Tablet Phone Submit Reply Share More sharing options... Followers 2
Graeme Bremner Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 I remember hearing big john saying that the illuminati are behind our half time draws Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
underboyleheating Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Do we know if the same person won all three prizes? Â Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MearnsWell Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 It's a feckin great draw . We won the £50 one the day totally random . Get a life or off the sad betting sites. I'll bet you thought it was the FBI that shot Kennedy an all. Would explain why he's suddenly no' even making the bench right enough... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuwell Posted January 3, 2016 Report Share Posted January 3, 2016 Dom pulled the three tickets out in the one go after the barrel had been spun - after the second number was called out you could see him looking at the third one still in his hand and thinking oh shit! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wellman Posted January 4, 2016 Report Share Posted January 4, 2016 more to the point why can you never get a ticket near the main stand now ? Surely the people who benefit the draw should be out in droves selling tickets, at least one inside or outside every stand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tweed Posted January 4, 2016 Report Share Posted January 4, 2016 Because the winners are in the Cooper and you can't sell to those who can't win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts